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|I think many Lincolnphiles think the war began and ended with everything Lincoln. I think Gettysburg was THE battle of the war because it was the one remaining chance to end the war for the Confederacy. You can argue the location and changed outcomes but it was the back breaker for either side that lost.
That said Lincoln was the linchpin for the north and his assassination in Baltimore in 1861 would have been the deathnell for the Union as we knew it in my humble opinion.